Scientists from the University of Texas claim that communication with aliens would lead to war on Earth, but not an alien invasion.
A study by the University of Nottingham estimated that in the Milky Way, our galaxy alone, there are 36 intelligent extraterrestrial civilizations. If one day we manage to come into contact with one of these potential extraterrestrial civilizations, according to some specialists, a catastrophic war could break out on Earth. But not for the reason everyone would imagine, namely the invasion of evil aliens in the style of Independence Day or War of the Worlds. The war, in fact we would do it alone. Scientists speculate that the nation capable of communicating with aliens would not only keep the communication channel open with ET secret, but also all the invaluable technological information that would result from such cooperation.
The two scientists Kenneth W. Wisian and John W. Traphagan, respectively from the Center for Space Research and the Department of Religious Studies – Program in Human Dimensions of Organizations at the University of Texas at Austin, believe that this “interstellar selfishness” is likely. . Wisian is also a former major general in the US Air Force. According to the authors of the study, if a third nation were to discover that a country has entered into a fruitful (and exclusive) collaboration with an extraterrestrial civilization, it would be driven to attack it to steal the precious technological information. Monopolistic access to revolutionary weapons, energy systems, and transportation—to name a few—would ensure intolerable supremacy in the global balance game, especially among the superpowers, so it would not be surprising to trigger a conflict. After all, the entire history of mankind is littered with wars and massacres for the thirst for power and the desire for conquest.
According to the authors of the study “The Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence: A Realpolitik Consideration” published in the specialized scientific journal Space Policy, radio telescopes, research centers and scientists themselves would become “legitimate” military targets in such a scenario. For all these reasons, researchers and structures involved in SETI (Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligent Life) should develop safety protocols to prevent the risk of contact hoarding attempts.
However, the new study “Geopolitical Implications of a Successful SETI Program” conducted by researchers from the Penn State Extraterrestrial Intelligence Center – Center for Exoplanets and Habitable Worlds at Pennsylvania State University strongly criticized Wisian and Traphagan’s work, arguing that the scenario was their assumption is unlikely. Not because contact with aliens is impossible, but simply because monopolizing information would be impossible, given the timing of a hypothetical communication with aliens. After all, we send our radio messages to galaxies and clusters at sidereal distances; it can take centuries, even millennia, to receive a potential response and initiate an exchange of information.
“The stars we’re aiming for are hundreds or thousands of light years away. And so even if we receive a communication signal and that signal is decoded, we can’t respond,” said Dr. Jason Wright, professor of astronomy and astrophysics at Pennsylvania State University Penn State University and first in a podcast on Planetary.org. study author. “We can send the response signal, but if they’re 200 light years away, we say, ‘Oh great, we got your message. Tell us about X, Y, Z. And 400 years later we will have the answer.” Even if communication were instantaneous, they also believe that it is unlikely that an intelligent civilization would allow free access to such “trust” information, just as some political leaders might not find a communication monopoly advantageous with aliens. However, the researchers point out that “transparency, data sharing and education of policy makers” are the best methods to avoid internal crises in case of contact with ET.