There is an impression that things are going fast in Tunisia, but in reality it is inertia that prevails. This inertia, which means that nothing really changes. Apparently, everything is in motion after the relentless march of history being written before our eyes. In truth, the country is bound tightly, drawn to the bottom by the accumulation of crises and their convergence in a culmination, by the immobility and conservatism of the various state apparatuses, by non-existent or lame strategies, by the absence of visions and expectations, by a strange autism by successive authorities. What have we done to find solutions to structural problems, to systemic decay? Semi-scoops of scam and hesitation are the norm. It seems that the imminent danger, the real, no longer looks at us, it falls upon us with an open face.
Of course, we can not accuse the authority instead of being the cause of this polycrisis. We must admit that we have been reaping the benefits of the flawed policies of the last decade, and that these flawed policies have only exacerbated the structural problems that we have dragged on for ages. However, the current authority assumes responsibility for the immediate handling of the crisis, or rather its poor management. What sensible steps to close the budget gaps, apart from focusing on negotiations with the IMF, which are lagging behind? What has been done to predict the fallout from the Russian-Ukrainian conflict? Rising international commodity and energy prices, declining activity in Tunisia’s main partners, climate of uncertainty … This logically means a worsening of inflationary pressures in the coming weeks and months. This means a worsening of the budget deficit and debt. This will generate significant additional funding needs. In short, in the absence of urgent preventive measures, we will find ourselves in an indescribable mess.
Meanwhile, “Ommek Sannefa” who deserves to call him, with contempt, our dear president (rating agency for the uninitiated) has lowered Tunisia’s rating. Fitch Ratings explains this deterioration with the delays in concluding an agreement with the IMF, but also with the political vagueness. It will be necessary to expect an angry presidential exit after this announcement. Do not be surprised if he begins to unleash his rage against potential enemies who want damage to his project and therefore in extension of the people and the nation. It is that the president is evolving into a different dimension than ordinary mortals.
In his flawed vision of the economic, Kaïs Saïed believes that Tunisia is a rich country, but that its wealth has been stolen, and that all our problems would therefore be solved if we implemented the only “viable” solution, its utopian political project . . Light years away from the reality on the spot, the authorities are asking citizens to attend a hearing to answer whether they would like a new constitution, whether they want a regime change or not. financial problems, whether they would lack green areas in their neighborhood or not, or whether they want the hospitals to be better equipped …
The observation of the crisis and the deep failures that Tunisia is going through have been established for years. Short-, medium- and long-term solutions to suggest? Every government has gone there with its promises and measures, and here we are at the culmination of all crises that must undergo a new fashion. The exchange between the president and the verbalized bread seller is constructive in that it reveals a dissociative syndrome. The lady tells him about young people who perish at sea in the hope of a better life in Europe, he replies that the young people are very involved in the “national consultation”. She tells him that she works hard every day to feed her family, he gives her his speech on the role of justice, the function of judges and its war on speculation. Lunar! Accidents of history will be paid very dearly.