Emmanuel Macron takes his time, what are his options?

The future head of government will be “linked to the social issue, the environmental issue and the productive issue”, he only outlined. And he will have to tackle an increasingly gaping social divide where every other voter has chosen the extremes of the first round of the presidential election.

Priority for a woman

A woman wanted his preference, according to relatives. But the casting is not that simple. Minister of Labor Elisabeth Borne, who is regularly quoted, is still little known by the French. “She is ticking. But is it sending a political message?” Asks a member of the government. This scenario has “become so insistent” that it seems more and more unlikely, notes another. Chief of Staff of the Prime Minister Manuel Valls, who became CEO of the real estate group Nexity, did not respond, according to information from the Parisian.

The president of the Socialist group in the National Assembly, Valérie Rabault, is not a candidate, as he estimates that retirement at 65 puts the “marker on the right” too much, according to BFM-TV. The name of the president of the Pays de la Loire region, Christelle Morançais (Les Républicains), is gaining ground in the public eye. “I do not believe in it at all,” said one minister. Also mentioned is Catherine Vautrin, former Minister of Social Cohesion under Jacques Chirac and President of the Greater Reims Urban Community. And Nicolas Sarkozy’s former ecology minister, Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet (“NKM”). Without agreeing.

A “techno” prime minister?

The temptation of a “techno” head of government, familiar with the state apparatus and without political ambitions, could be great. After two terms, Emmanuel Macron will not be able to run again in 2027. There is a high risk that an overly political prime minister will soon have other ambitions and overshadow him. In the “techno” galaxy, Emmanuel Macron could choose Agriculture Minister Julien Denormandie, whom he is close to, or Élysée Secretary-General Alexis Kohler, at the heart of all arbitration cases during the first five-year term. .

A political fuse

Faced with a social front that promises to be agitated, from pension reform to the defense of purchasing power, “we need someone political”, a minister insists in unison with other members of the majority. “Someone is ready to jump in six months, because with social reforms it will be tough,” he adds. In short, a fuse that would protect the president. For the director of political studies at the Kantar Institute, Emmanuel Rivière, the Prime Minister will also have to bring “a little reconciliation” and compensate for the image of Emmanuel Macron, who is considered “too little to listen to and sometimes contemptuous” in his opinion .

A right-wing prime minister, like Economy Minister Bruno Le Maire, would allow him to complete his work of exposing Republicans. This would also have the benefit of disrupting the takeover of Édouard Philippe, which left Matignon crowned with a popularity greater than that of the head of state in 2020. But public expectations are also very high for purchasing power and ecology, which may justify a ” rebalancing to the left “, believes Emmanuel Rivière.

However, the headline will be hard to find on this page, including at Europe Ecologie-Les Verts (EELV), where the “schism about nuclear power” is deep, assesses a close friend of the president. The Greens’ presidential candidate, Yannick Jadot, “does not have the technical depth” for such a position, Gaspard Gantzer believes. Pascal Canfin, Chair of the European Parliament’s Environment Committee, is back. “Nevertheless, it is he who theorized ecological planning,” new creed from the president raises the bar for the majority.

When is the white smoke?

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